Learn to create an earnings line
Peter Lynch in his famous book “Beating the Street” talked about buying stocks when they are below earnings line and avoiding to buy when they are above earnings line.
Peter Lynch in his famous book “Beating the Street” talked about buying stocks when they are below earnings line and avoiding to buy when they are above earnings line.
No Indian website provides this information readily like US websites. However with some work you would be able to create this on your own
Go to Screener to get the ten yearly annual profit and loss , copy paste data it an excel
Now get the total number of outstanding shares from latest quarterly fillings or from money control – Calculate diluted EPS , make sure you take latest outstanding shares
Calculate 10 years , 5 year and 3 year EPS CAGR growth
Now choose a fair PE based on EPS growth for page we have taken PE of 38
Create an earnings line by multiplying fair PE and Diluted EPS
Plot actual share price as on 1st may ( to avoid bias) for every financial year to compare earnings line with actual price
Convert this into graph to get an idea when to buy
As you can infer the best years to buy were 2009, 2010 and 2011 where price was below earnings line, investors would have made significant gains by buying in those years
Can you use this single chart to buy and sell stocks – NO
But this chart gives you a rational idea on when the market is under-pricing the company , download this Page_Price line analysis excel to create your own earnings line